Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRB prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 41.727160 49.233687 57.461453 67.117132 78.104467 90.183799 104.432985
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 29.108426 38.667626 50.180438 64.929666 83.172100 104.835541 132.331797
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 22.740119 33.159434 46.655328 65.120871 89.391563 119.837479 160.496051
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 18.746297 29.603284 44.554865 66.150393 95.959685 135.007568 189.252726
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 14.180749 24.279116 39.065103 61.584967 94.168245 138.631972 202.713556
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 12.314057 22.539081 38.277699 63.287957 100.839786 153.735074 232.144664
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 10.305505 20.182722 36.165610 62.647801 103.863922 163.711432 254.825145
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 9.609466 19.875611 37.164397 66.767511 114.144093 184.560696 293.963881
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 7.671854 17.024293 33.595809 63.165754 112.153492 187.077652 306.392199
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 6.977349 16.350324 33.617649 65.403800 119.437841 203.843407 340.706606
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 6.688595 16.416162 34.933534 69.915361 130.657894 227.194256 386.040535
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 6.096041 15.754613 34.818601 71.867703 137.696892 244.277069 422.421893
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.237880 14.480032 33.594418 72.105777 142.545213 259.263911 458.186984
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.255372 12.723694 31.202682 69.983526 143.248143 267.797893 484.642373
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.644535 11.696479 30.125475 70.207830 148.080082 283.398862 523.300524
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.194211 10.959983 29.542189 71.306721 154.537374 302.054689 567.858656
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.430868 9.155396 26.258478 66.441882 149.285624 300.002757 577.410848
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.179726 8.747812 26.151258 68.257068 157.010196 321.232081 627.659509
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.837644 7.957015 24.973979 67.574806 159.696038 333.479928 662.833605
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.767611 8.035357 26.005710 71.964322 172.933827 365.692944 734.507783
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.376930 6.878567 23.600972 68.126834 168.889210 365.553943 748.521661
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.264259 6.697491 23.813516 70.511607 178.079890 390.804513 809.374858
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.237036 6.843463 24.972844 75.316511 192.771310 427.243194 892.040738